Dataset for "Forecasting the Exchange Rate using Non-linear Taylor Rule Based Models"

This dataset contains a compilation of exchange rate data and also data for the Taylor rule for each country covering the UK, Sweden and Australia against the US dollar between 1979 and 2008. It is also for the estimation of the shadow interest rate for the UK and US. It is used with the included set of scripts for estimating a non-linear Taylor rule model for each exchange rate. Results arising from this dataset are published in the paper "Forecasting the Exchange Rate using Non-linear Taylor Rule Based Models".

Subjects:
Economics

Cite this dataset as:
Wang, R., Morley, B., Stamatogiannis, M., 2018. Dataset for "Forecasting the Exchange Rate using Non-linear Taylor Rule Based Models". Bath: University of Bath Research Data Archive. Available from: https://doi.org/10.15125/BATH-00551.

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Data

Copy of RATS_real … paper.xls
application/vnd.ms-excel (141kB)
Creative Commons: Attribution 4.0

MS Excel file with all the data for the Taylor rule estimation and forecasting.

Code

nonlinear estimation_USAUS.RPF
text/plain (7kB)
Software: MIT License

RATS Code for estimating the nonlinear model for the US/Australia exchange rate

nonlinear estimation_USSD.RPF
text/plain (7kB)
Software: MIT License

RATS Code for estimating the nonlinear model for the US/Sweden exchange rate

nonlinear estimation … (shadow).RPF
text/plain (7kB)
Software: MIT License

RATS Code for estimating the nonlinear model for the US/UK shadow exchange rate.

nonlinear estimation_USUK.RPF
text/plain (7kB)
Software: MIT License

RATS Code for estimating the nonlinear model for the US/UK exchange rate

Creators

Rudan Wang
Coventry University

Bruce Morley
University of Bath

Contributors

University of Bath
Rights Holder

Coverage

Collection date(s):

From 2015 to 2018

Temporal coverage:

From 1979 to 2008

Geographical coverage:

UK, USA, Australia and Sweden

Documentation

Data collection method:

The data were selected based on the availability of the data over a sufficiently long time period, resulting in the UK, Australia and Sweden against the US dollar. This also represented a mix of countries with strong stock markets and housing markets.

Data processing and preparation activities:

The data were compiled into a single dataset for use and in a form relevant to the Taylor rule model of the exchange rate. All the data is taken secondary online sources.

Technical details and requirements:

The .rpf files are RATS program files, written for use with RATS 9.2 for Windows (https://estima.com/ratsmain.shtml).

Funders

Publication details

Publication date: 28 December 2018
by: University of Bath

Version: 1

DOI: https://doi.org/10.15125/BATH-00551

URL for this record: https://researchdata.bath.ac.uk/id/eprint/551

Related papers and books

Wang, R., Morley, B., and Stamatogiannis, M. P., 2019. Forecasting the exchange rate using nonlinear Taylor rule based models. International Journal of Forecasting, 35(2), 429-442. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2018.07.017.

Contact information

Please contact the Research Data Service in the first instance for all matters concerning this item.

Contact person: Bruce Morley

Departments:

Faculty of Humanities & Social Sciences
Economics